胡冠华;李兵;

• 1:中央财经大学国际经济与贸易学院

摘要(Abstract)：

本文利用互联网安全公司公布的网络攻击数据和双边贸易数据,使用拓展的引力模型,首次探究了网络攻击对双边贸易的影响。实证结果表明,无论是出口国还是进口国受到的网络攻击都对贸易具有阻碍作用。在分产品类别的研究中发现,网络攻击对资本品、中间产品的影响不显著,但是对消费品贸易有显著的阻碍作用;对出口国的网络攻击会使异质产品贸易受到显著的负面影响,对进口国的网络攻击对同质产品有显著负面影响。本文是目前第一篇研究网络攻击对贸易影响的文章,丰富了互联网对贸易的影响方面的研究内容,同时也为我国"互联网+贸易"战略的实施提供了有益的启示。

关键词(KeyWords)： 互联网;国际贸易;网络攻击;网络安全

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): “中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金”;; “中央财经大学科研创新团队支持计划”资助

作者(Authors): 胡冠华;李兵;

DOI: 10.19313/j.cnki.cn10-1223/f.2018.05.003

参考文献(References)：

• [1]李兵,李柔.互联网与企业出口:来自中国工业企业的微观经验证据[J].世界经济,2017(7):102-125.
• [2]施炳展.互联网与国际贸易--基于双边双向网址链接数据的经验分析[J].经济研究,2016(5):172-187.
• [3]孙浦阳,张靖佳,姜小雨.电子商务、搜寻成本与消费价格变化[J].经济研究,2017(7):139-154.
• [4]岳云嵩,李兵,李柔.互联网会提高企业进口技术复杂度吗--基于倍差匹配的经验研究[J].国际贸易问题,2016(12):131-141.
• [5]岳云嵩,李兵,李柔.互联网对企业进口的影响--来自中国制造业企业的经验分析[J].国际经贸探索,2017(3):57-69.
• [6]Autor,D.H.Wiring the labor market[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,2001,15(1):25-40.
• [7]Bakos,Y.,Brynjolfsson,E.Bundling and competition on the internet[J].Marketing Science,2000,19(1):63-82.
• [8]Barber,B.M.,Odean,T.The internet and the investor[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,2001,15(1):41-54.
• [9]Bojnec,Stefan,Ferto,Imre.Market-Creating Effect of the Internet on Food Trade[R].Working Paper No.91958,2010
• [10]Borenstein,S.,Saloner G.Economics and electronic commerce[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,2001,15(1):3-12.
• [11]Cyrus,T.L.Cultural Distance and Bilateral Trade[J].Global Economy Journal,2012,12(4).
• [12]Ferro,Esteban.Signaling and Technological Marketing Tools for Exporters[R].World Bank,Policy Research working paper series,No.5547,2011
• [13]Fink,C.Mattoo,A.and Neagu,I.C.Assessing the Impact of Communication Costs on International Trade[J].Journal of International Economics,2005,67(2):428-445.
• [14]Freund,C.,Weinhold,D.The Internet and International Trade in Service[J].American Economic Review,2002,92(2):236-240.
• [15]Freund,C.,Weinhold,D.The Effect of the Internet on International Trade[J].Journal of International Economics,2002,62(1):171-189.
• [16]Gould,D.M.Immigrant Links to the Home Country:Empirical Implications for US Bilateral Trade Flows[J].The Review of Economics and Statistics,1994,76(2):302-316.
• [17]Harris,R.The Internet as a GPT:Factor Market Implications,In General Purpose Technologies and Economic Growth[M].MITPress,1994:145-166.
• [18]Hutchinson,W.K.‘Linguistic Distance’as a Determinant of Bilateral Trade[J].Southern Economic Journal,2005,72(1):1-15.
• [19]Lendle,A.,Olarrega,M.,Schropp,S.,Vezina,P.L.There Goes Gravity:Ebay and the Death of Distance[J].Economic Journal,2016,126:406-441.
• [20]Lin,Faqin.Estimating the Effect of the Internet on International Trade[J].Journal of International Trade&Economic Development,2014,62(3):171-189.
• [21]Mallick,Hrushikesh.Role of Technological Infrastructures in Exports:Evidence from a Cross-Country Analysis[J].International Review of Applied Economics,2014,28(5):669-694
• [22]Rauch,J.E.,Trindade,V.Ethnic Chinese Networks in International Trade[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,2002,84(1):116-130.
• [23]Rose,A.K.One Money.One Market:the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade[J].Economic Policy,2000,15(30):8-45.
• [24]Tang,L.Communication Costs and Trade of Differentiated Goods[J].Review of International Economics,2006,14(1):54-68.
• [25]Timmis,Jonathan.Internet Adoption and Firm Exports in Developing Economies[D].University of Nottingham,GEP,discussion papers,2013
• [26]Vijay K.Impact of commercialization of the Internet on international trade:a panel study using the extended grayity model[J].The International Trade Journal,2009,10(2):458-484.
• [27]Venables,A.,Lim?o,N.Geographical Disadvantage:a Heckscher-Ohlin-Von Thunen Model of International Specialization[J].Journal of International Economics,1999,58(2):239-263.
• [28]Wheatley,W.P.,Roe,T.L.The Effects of the Internet on U.S.Bilateral Agricultural Trade[J].Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development,2008,4(2):231-253.
• [29]Yushkova,E.Impact of ICT on Trade in Different Technology Groups:Analysis and Implications[J].International Economics and Economic Policy,2014,11(1):165-177.
• (1)https://www.mcafee.com/apps/search/default.aspx?region=cn&q=The+economicimpact+of+cybercrime+and+cyber+espionage
• (2)https://www.akamai.com/cn/zh/about/our-thinking/state-of-the-internet-report/global-state-of-the-internet-security-ddos-attackreports.jsp